Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi |
BEIRUT, Lebanon – ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is still very much
alive after premature reports of his death, announcing that a number of
provinces in Arab countries have declared their loyalty to his Islamic
caliphate.
Sources say the new annexations will only create a more complex threat environment for the U.S.-led anti-ISIS coalition.
Baghdadi’s rare public announcement is the first time there has been
any official acknowledgement of such annexations since ISIS, also known
as the Islamic State, took over parts of Syria and Iraq some six months
ago and declared the creation of a caliphate.
“Whether Western governments want to admit it or not, the reality is
that the Islamic State has expanded in a non-contiguous manner outside
its base and now has authority over satellite groups and small amounts
of territory outside Iraq and the Levant,” said Aaron Zelin of the
Washington Institute.
“The Islamic State’s ability to expand its reach and its writ will
depend on how successful this now-formalized annexation model proves to
be,” Zelin said. “For now, and perhaps for the long term, this means the
U.S.-led coalition will have to deal with a more complex threat
environment.”
In his announcement, Baghdadi said he has accepted bayah – an oath of
allegiance to a leader – from jihadi groups in Saudi Arabia and Yemen,
and the Jund al-Khilafah in Algeria, the Majis Shura Shabab al-Islam in
Libya and the Ansar Beit al-Maqdis in the Sinai.
His declaration officially ends the separate identification of the
groups by their own name and “the announcement of new wilayat
(provinces) of the Islamic State and the appointment of wulat
(governors) for them,” according to Baghdadi.
The announcement suggests the groups have sufficient control over
their territories, although it is unconfirmed if yet unidentified
jihadist groups in Yemen, Saudi Arabia and Algeria have similar control.
The provinces in Libya and Sinai could follow the same economic model
of sustainability ISIS has pursued in Iraq and Syria over the past few
years, Zelin said.
“If they have not done so already,” Zelin said, “the Libyan and Sinai
groups are prime candidates for fully grafting their jihadist networks
onto the traditional criminal enterprise networks that have been used
for trafficking, smuggling and other black market activities over the
years.”
In his announcement, Baghdadi also called for overt military attacks
against Shiites, with primary targets to be in the Wilayat al-Haramayn,
or the province of the Two Holy Places, meaning Mecca and Medina in
Saudi Arabia, and Wilayat Yemen against the Iranian-backed Shiite
Houthis.
After that, Baghdadi said the next priority in military targeting by
ISIS would be the Saudi royal family and then the “crusaders,” or
Western powers.
Baghdadi formally clarified how ISIS “perceives its enemies and its
most immediate threat,” Zelin said, “while also illustrating its
differences from al-Qaida, an organization that has historically given
precedent to fighting the ‘crusaders’ first.”
Since ISIS intends to target the Shiites first in Saudi Arabia,
Baghdadi may have intentions of going after his real target there, the
rich oil fields of the Saudi kingdom, which happen to be in a
Shiite-controlled province.
Similarly, in Yemen, the Houthis have taken over the government
there, neighboring Saudi Arabia, which has committed troops to eliminate
them.
However, if Baghdadi is successful in having ISIS establish a firm
holding in Saudi Arabia and Yemen, he not only would control valuable
oil fields but also much of the Arabian Peninsula.
Already, the jihadi group Al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula, based in Yemen, has sworn allegiance to Baghdadi.
Baghdadi’s declaration will test ISIS influence and level of command
and control over areas outside its own base in Syria and Iraq.
“Whatever happens,” Zelin said, “Baghdadi’s message highlights his
desire to continue projecting power in new areas. The Islamic State is
staying true to its slogan of ‘remaining and expanding,’ in part to show
the anti-ISIS coalition that while it may not have the same battlefield
momentum it had this summer, it is still controlling territory in Iraq
and Syria.”
Read more at http://www.wnd.com/2014/11/isis-to-annex-more-arab-lands-into-caliphate/#myuSeepdRsxmUTha.99
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